• Experienced Management and established track record of operations:
Wheel Group (WG) comprises of two companies, Wheel Flexible Packaging (WFP) and Wheel Flexible Packaging Private Limited (WFPPL). WFP was established in 1999, and WFPPL was incorporated in 2016. Thus, have an operational track record of over two decades. Mr. A.C.B. Nambiar (Managing Partner) has an experience of around five decades in the flexible packaging industry. Hence, long track records of operations and vast experience of management has helped the group diversify its customer base.
Also, the decision to relocate the plant at Dadra and Nagar Haveli to Vapi, Gujarat along with capacity addition of further 3000 metric tonnes will enable the group to increase their operating margins by 1.5-2 percent due to overall reduction in the administration and employee cost. The relocation is expected to be complete by FY2023. For the plant at Dadra Nagar Haveli the group intends to install shrink flee plant capacity with additional project cost of Rs. 0.40 Cr. The annual revenue from this plant is expected to be around 1.75 Cr.
Acuité believes that WG will sustain its existing business profile on the back of established track record of operations and strategic decision by the management to increase overall scale of operations.
• Stable operating margins albeit stagnating scale of operations:
The operating margins of the group remain stable in the range of 5 percent through FY2020-22. The major raw material procured by the group include Polyethylene and Polyster films. These raw material are susceptible to change in crude oil prices and fluctuation in USD. The average purchase price of increased from Rs. 160 per kg in FY2021 Rs. 180 per kg in FY2022,correspondingly the average selling prices increased from Rs. 200-220 per kg in to Rs. 232-250 per kg, thereby not impacting the overall operating margins. The ability to transfer the fluctuation in raw material prices ensure overall stability in operating margins. Also, there is adequate customer diversification, the group derives about 26 percent of its revenue in FY2022 through top 10 customers against 21 percent in the previous year.
However, the revenue of the group has stagnated at an average of ~Rs. 200 Cr through FY2020-22 with domestic revenue declining since FY2020, the group earned Rs. 181 Cr in FY2020 against Rs. 164 Cr in FY2022 (Provisional). However, the export revenue growth has been considerable the export revenue increased from Rs. 9.08 Cr in FY2020 to Rs. 32.62 Cr in FY2022 (Provisional). Further, WG derives 95 percent of the revenue through food product packaging and the rest through pharmaceuticals and personal and homecare products thereby resulting into sectoral concentration.
Nonetheless, the Group until June 2022 has earned an aggregate revenue of Rs. 62 Cr and has an outstanding order book of Rs. 21.00 Cr.
• Favorable industry outlook for packaging industry:
As per CMIE data, the packaging industry reported y-o-y 34.7 percent growth in sales from Rs.45.7 billion for March 2021 quarter to Rs.61.5 billion for March 2022 quarter. In FY22, the exports value increased by 31.4 percent to Rs.137.3 billion as compared to Rs.104.4 billion for FY21. Growth in modern retailing, high consumer income, and acceleration in e-commerce activities, especially in the emerging economies, are likely to support the growth of the flexible plastic packaging market over the medium term.
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• Deterioration in the capital structure:
WG has an average financial risk profile marked by moderate net worth, high gearing and moderate coverage metrics. The net worth of the group stood at Rs. 32.12 Cr as on March 31, 2022 (Provisional) against Rs. 27.28 Cr in the previous year. The increase in net worth is attributable to moderate accretion to reserves.
The aggregate debt of the group increased to Rs. 64.58 Cr as on March 31, 2022 (Provisional) against Rs. 51.23 Cr as on March 31, 2021. The debt consists of long term loans Rs. 24.54 Cr, Rs. 7.70 Cr unsecured loan from promoters and Rs. 32.34 Cr short term debt. The increase in debt is attributable to increased short term debt from Rs. 22.06 Cr as on March 31, 2021 to Rs. 32.24 Cr as on March 31, 2022 (Provisional). The stretch in working capital cycle primarily due to increase in inventory days from 75 in FY2021 to 101 in FY2022 (Provisional) has resulted into increased dependence on external funding. Also, the group has availed Covid loans of ~Rs. 4.00 Cr in FY2022.
The group follows an aggressive leverage policy marked by average gearing (debt to equity) 1.85 times through FY2020-22 and peak gearing of 2.01 times as on March 31, 2022 (Provisional). However, the moderate accretion to reserves ensures adequate coverage metrics, interest coverage ratio and debt coverage ratio stood at 2.41 times and 1.42 times as on March 31, 2022 (Provisional).Going forward considering the debt funded expansion plans the gearing is expected to be around 2.09 times by FY2023.
Acuité believes any further debt funded capital expenditure will result into further deterioration in the overall financial risk profile.
• Working capital intensive nature of operations:
The operations of the group are working capital intensive marked by working capital (WC) cycle days of 102 as on March 31, 2022 (Provisional) against 74 in the previous year. The increased inventory days by 26 in FY2022 (Provisional) has contributed to overall increase in WC cycle days against the previous year. WG procured increased stocks during the year end to fulfill orders for the first quarter of FY2023. The group has managed to earn a revenue of ~Rs. 62 Cr for the 3 month ended June 2022 against Rs. 54 Cr and Rs. 46 Cr during the same period in FY2021 and FY2020.
However, the overall operations of the group has remained working capital intensive marked by average WC cycle days of 80 through FY2020-22.
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