Strategic importance to Government of Telangana (GOT)
TSGENCO is a wholly owned entity of Government of Telangana and holds a strategically importance to GOT. Company caters to power requirements of the state with total installed capacity of 6485.26 MWs comprising of thermal, hydel and solar power stations. Company has long term Power purchase agreements (PPA) with Discoms of Telangana and Karnataka to supply its entire power generation with tariff regulated by Telangana state electricity regulatory commission (TSERC). Company is mandated to ensure the generation of power from its installed capacities and supply the same to discoms.
Acuite believes that TSGENCO being a 100 percent undertaking of GOT, shall continue to benefit from the financial, operational and management support from GOT. Any change in ownership pattern or any event that impinges GOT's overall credit profile shall remain key rating sensitivity.
Limited fuel supply risk aided by location in coal belt region
The company has a fuel supply arrangement with Singareni Collaries company limited (SCCL) and also has its own captive mines. During FY2023, SCCL has supplied 15.18 MMT of coal out of total requirement of 17.67 MMT and 2.5 MMT is procured through captive mines located at tadicherla, bhupalapalli district, TS. Captive mines primarily supplies fuel to KTPP 2 (600MWs) and other power plants procure fuel through SCCL. Being located in coal belt region thermal power plants of TSGENCO has inherent advantage of low fuel supply risk, as all the power plants are located within 50 kilometres distance from coalmines.
Acuite believes that company will continue to reap benefits from strategic location of thermal power plants at coal belt regions and possession of own captive mines in medium term.
Improved operating efficiency
TSGENCO revenue has increased to Rs.15614.37 Cr in FY2023 (Prov) from Rs.13654.03 Cr in FY2022 and Rs. 11020.68 Cr in FY2021 backed by higher plant load factor (PLF) and increased realisation price during FY2023 to Rs.5.27/Kwh from Rs.4.74/Kwh in FY2022 and FY2021. Improvement is also backed by higher power generation in hydal power plants, which has improved to 6058.21 Mus in FY2023 from 5654.5 Mus in FY2022 and 3667.37 Mus in FY2021. Overall, power generation improved to 31501.26 Mus in FY23 from 30455.94 Mus in FY22 and 24405.04 Mus in FY21. However, company's operating profit margins declined to 33.63 percent in FY2023(Prov) from 36.01 percent in FY2022 and 37 percent in FY2021, decline in profitability margins is due to increase in coal prices during FY23.
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Moderate standalone financial risk profile
The financial risk profile of the company is marked moderate by moderate networth, high gearing ratio and moderate debt protection metrics. Company's networth improved and stood at Rs.6533.83 Cr as on March 31st 2023(Prov) as against Rs.6110.46 Cr as on March 31st 2022 and Rs.5692.82 Cr as on March 31st 2021 on account of accretion of profits. The gearing ratios of the company stood high at 5.16 times as on March 31st 2023(Prov) as against 5.12 times as on March 31st 2022 and 4.93 times as on March 31st 2021, high gearing ratio is due to high capital outlay funded through debt. Further, the total outside liabilities to tangible networth(TOL/TNW) stood at 7.26 times as on March 31st 2023(Prov) as against 7.48 times as on March 31st 2022 and 6.71 times as on March 31st 2021. The net cash accrual to total debt (NCA/TD) stood at 0.07 in FY2023(Prov) as against 0.05 times in FY2022 and 0.05 times in FT2021. Debt protection of interest coverage ratio stood at 1.85 times for FY2023(Prov) as against 1.77 times for FY2022 and 1.50 times for FY2021, DSCR stood low at 1.05 times in FY2023 as against 0.84 times in FY2022 and 0.70 times in FY2021.
Further, Company is in the process of availing further loan amounting Rs.7550 Cr to meet overrun capital outlay requirement for YTPS. Acuite believes that effect on financial risk profile after taking the new loan and timely completion of project without any further overrun will remain key monitorable.
Working capital intensive nature of operations
The operations of the company are working capital intensive as reflected by is Gross current account (GCA) days of 282 days in FY2023(Prov) as against 376 days in FY2022 and 309 days in FY2021, GCA days are majorly dominated by debtor days. Debtor days of the company improved slightly and stood at 233 days in FY2023(Prov) as against 293 days in FY2022 and 249 days in FY2021. Inventory days of the company stood at 34 days in FY2023(Prov) as against 30 days in FY22 and FY21. To support the working capital requirements company stretched its creditor days to 230 days in FY2023(Prov) as against 384 days in FY2022 and 271 days in FY2021.
Acuite believes that company's ability to manage working capital efficiently will remain key rating sensitivity going forward.
Regulated nature of operations
The revenues are influenced by the regulatory framework governing the power sector. Revenues of companies such as TSGENCO are determined by Telangana State Electricity Regulatory Commission (TSERC). The company operates through a cost-plus return on equity model laid down by TSERC. Any significant delays in tariff approvals or a reduction in return on equity or a tightening of the TSERC norms could result in lower operating cash flows.
Acuité believes that any significant change in the regulatory environment will impinge on the credit profile of the company.
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