| Strategic importance to Government of Telangana (GOT)
TGGENCO is a wholly owned entity of Government of Telangana (GoT) and holds a strategic importance to GoT. Company caters to power requirements of the state with total installed capacity of 8822.76 MWs comprising of thermal, hydel and solar power stations. Company has long term Power purchase agreements (PPA) with Discoms of Telangana and Karnataka to supply its entire power generation with tariff regulated by Telangana electricity regulatory commission (TGERC). Company is mandated to ensure the generation of power from its installed capacities and supply the same to discoms.
Acuite believes that TGGENCO being a 100 percent undertaking of GOT, shall continue to benefit from the financial, operational and management support from GOT. Any change in ownership pattern or any event that impinges GOT's overall credit profile shall remain key rating sensitivity.
Limited fuel supply risk aided by proximity to coal belt region
The company has a fuel supply arrangement with Singareni Collaries company limited (SCCL) and has its own captive mines. During FY2025, SCCL has supplied 29.17 MMT of coal out of total consumption of 31.67 MMT and 2.50MMT was from captive mines located at Tadicherla, Bhupalapalli district, Telangana state. Captive mines primarily supplies fuel to KTPP 2 (600MWs) and other power plants procure fuel through SCCL. Being located in coal belt region thermal power plants of TGGENCO has inherent advantage of low fuel supply risk, as all the power plants are located within 50 kilometres distance from coalmines.
Low demand risk aided by long term PPA arrangements
The Company has entered into PPA (power purchase agreements) with TGNPDCL (Telangana state northern power Distribution Corporation), TGSPDCL (Telangana state southern power Distribution Corporation) and KPCL (Karnataka Power Corporation) for complete sale of power generated by TGGENCO. TGNPDCL and TGSPDCL are also fully owned by GoT. Tariff rates are determined by TGERC (Telangana state electricity regulatory commission). All the power plants of TGGENCO has long term PPA with state discoms with a regulated tariff structure mandated by state electricity regulatory commission, ensuring offtake of power and stable revenue visibility. Even during the period of lower scheduling by the DISCOMs, TGGENCO continues to receive fixed charges, thereby limiting the impact of demand variations on its cash flows.
Moderation in operating performance during FY2025 due to lower plant availability, however, recovery expected in FY2026:
TGGENCO registered revenue of Rs.15,009.05Cr in FY2025 (Prov.) as against Rs.16416.88Cr registered in FY2024. The moderation in revenue is due to lower grid requirement and lower plant availability. During the H1FY2026, the company registered revenue of Rs.8,990.17 Cr against Rs.7355.47 Cr registered in H1FY2025 and expected to close the year with the revenue of Rs.22,000-22,500Cr primarily due to increase power generation capacity with 1 & 2 Yadadri Thermal Power plants becoming operational in January & July 2025 (earlier expected to be fully operational by May 2024), with expected addition of 3rd & 4th unit during the Q4FY2026. The operating profit margin has declined to 25.69 percent in FY2025 (Prov.) from 27.24 percent in FY2024. The PAT margin declined to 0.83 percent in FY2025 (prov.) from 2.46 percent in FY2024 primarily due to lower other income, which previously included sale of assets related to Kothagudem Thermal Power station- ABC plants. During the H1FY2026, TGGENCO registered operating profit margin of ~32 percent and PAT margin of ~4 percent against operating profit margin of ~28 percent and PAT margin of ~2 percent registered during H1FY2025. Acuite expects the operating performance of TGGENCO will improve further in the medium term on account of fully operationalization of the new 4000MW thermal power plant, while margins are expected to improve due expected improvement in operating efficiencies.
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| Below financial risk profile:
TGGENCO’s financial risk profile is below average, marked by healthy net worth, high gearing and below average debt protection metrics. The company’s net worth stood at Rs.7089.66Cr as on March 31, 2025 (Prov.) against Rs.6944.35Cr as on March 31, 2024. The improvement in net worth is due to accretion of profits to reserves during the period. The overall debt levels (comprising long-term debt of Rs.30,406.69Cr, short-term debt of Rs.90.00Cr, unsecured loans of Rs.0.01Cr and current maturities of long-term debt of Rs.1891.50Cr) remained high at Rs.32,388.20Cr, resulting in high gearing of 4.57 times as on March 31, 2025 (Prov.) against 4.79 times as on march 31, 2024. Total outside liabilities to tangible net worth (TOL/TNW) stood at 8.05 times as of March 31, 2025 (Prov.). The debt protection metrics stood below average with debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) and interest coverage ratio (ICR) of 0.83 times and 0.78 times respectively as on March 31, 2025(Prov.). Debt to EBITDA stood high at 8.23 times as on March 31, 2025 (Prov.). Acuite believes that the financial risk profile of the company is likely to remain moderate over the medium term due to infusion of debt towards capex.
Intensive working capital operations:
TGGENCO’s working capital operations are intensive in nature as reflected through the gross current asset (GCA) of 340 days in FY2025 (Prov.) against 310 days in FY2024. The elongation in GCA days is due to high amounts of debtors. The debtor days of the company stood at 283 days in FY2025 (Prov.) against 268 days in FY2024. Inventory days stood at 45 days in FY2025 (Prov.) against 28 days in FY2024. Despite of intensive working capital operations, the fund based working capital limits remained unutilized over the past 12 months ending September, 2025. Acuite believes, the working capital operations of the company will remain intensive over the medium term on account of high debtor days.
Regulated nature of operations
The revenues are influenced by the regulatory framework governing the power sector. Revenues of companies such as TGGENCO are determined by Telangana Electricity Regulatory Commission (TGERC). The company operates through a cost-plus return on equity model laid down by TGERC. Any significant delays in tariff approvals or a reduction in return on equity or a tightening of the TGERC norms could result in lower operating cash flows. Acuité believes that any significant change in the regulatory environment will impinge on the credit profile of the company.
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