Strategic importance to Government of Telangana (GOT)
TGGENCO is a wholly owned entity of Government of Telangana and holds a strategically importance to GOT. Company caters to power requirements of the state with total installed capacity of 6485.26 MWs comprising of thermal, hydel and solar power stations. Company has long term Power purchase agreements (PPA) with Discoms of Telangana and Karnataka to supply its entire power generation with tariff regulated by Telangana electricity regulatory commission (TGERC). Company is mandated to ensure the generation of power from its installed capacities and supply the same to discoms.
Acuite believes that TGGENCO being a 100 percent undertaking of GOT, shall continue to benefit from the financial, operational and management support from GOT. Any change in ownership pattern or any event that impinges GOT's overall credit profile shall remain key rating sensitivity.
Limited fuel supply risk aided by location in coal belt region
The company has a fuel supply arrangement with Singareni Collaries company limited (SCCL) and has its own captive mines. During FY2024, SCCL has supplied 15.58 MMT of coal out of total requirement of 18.07 MMT and 2.49 MMT is procured through captive mines located at Tadicherla, Bhupalapalli district, TS. Captive mines primarily supplies fuel to KTPP 2 (600MWs) and other power plants procure fuel through SCCL. Being located in coal belt region thermal power plants of TGGENCO has inherent advantage of low fuel supply risk, as all the power plants are located within 50 kilometres distance from coalmines. Acuite believes that company will continue to reap benefits from strategic location of thermal power plants at coal belt regions and possession of own captive mines in medium term.
Stable growth in operating income albeit decline in profitability margins:
TGGENCO has registered revenue of Rs.16416.88 Cr. during FY2024 (prov.) posting a growth rate of 5 percent against the previous year’s revenue of Rs.15614.37 Cr. in FY2023. The growth in revenue is due to steady PLF registered across the units in both thermal and hydel stations. The thermal power and hydel power plants have registered an average PLF of 75.97 percent and 86.77 percent in FY2024 against the previous year’s PLF of 71.02 percent and 91.57 percent, respectively. However, the operating profit margin has declined to 27.22 percent in FY2024 (Prov.) from 33.63 percent in FY2023, owing to increasing coal prices. Consequently, the lower EBITDA resulted in decline of PAT margin as well, which was declined to 2.46 percent in FY2024 (prov.). During the current year the company has registered revenue of Rs.5185.19 Cr. till July, 2024 which is in line with the previous year’s revenue during the same period. The margins are expected to remain in the similar range due to stabilization observed in the coal prices over past 2 quarters.
Acuite expects, the operating income of TGGENCO will improve further in the medium term on account of operational of the new 4000MW thermal power plant, while margins are expected to remain stable.
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Moderate financial risk profile:
TGGENCO’s financial risk profile is moderate, marked by healthy net worth, high gearing and moderate debt protection metrics. The company’s net worth stood at Rs.6944.35 Cr. as on March 31, 2024 (Prov.) against Rs.6533.83 Cr. as on March 31, 2023. The improvement in net worth is due to accretion of profits to reserves during the period. The overall debt levels remained at Rs.33230.95 Cr. as on March 31, 2024 (Prov.) compared to Rs.33712.06 Cr. as on March 31, 2023. This has resulted in marginal improvement in gearing level to 4.79 times as on March 31, 2024 (prov.) against 5.16 times as on March 31, 2023. Total outside liabilities to tangible net worth (TOL/TNW) stood at 7.67 times as of March 31, 2024 (Prov.), compared to 7.26 times as on March 31, 2023 . The debt protection metrics stood above average with DSCR and ICR of 0.92 times and 1.00 times respectively as on March 31, 2024 (Prov.). Debt to EBITDA also improved to 6.99 times as on March 31, 2024 (Prov.) from 6.06 times as on March 31, 2023.
Acuite believes that the financial risk profile of the company is likely to remain moderate over the medium term due to infusion of debt towards capex.
Intensive working capital operations:
TGGENCO’s working capital operations are intensive in nature as reflected through the gross current asset days of 310 days in FY2024 (Prov.) against 282 days in FY2023. The elongation in GCA days is due to high amounts of debtors. The debtor days of the company stood at 268 days in FY2024 (Prov.) against 233 days in FY2023. Inventory days stood at 28 days in FY2024 (Prov.) against 34 days in FY2023. Despite of intensive working capital operations, the fund based working capital limits were moderately utilized at an average of 62 percent over the past 15 months ending July, 2024. Acuite believes, the working capital operations of the company will remain intensive over the medium term on account of high debtor days.
Regulated nature of operations
The revenues are influenced by the regulatory framework governing the power sector. Revenues of companies such as TGGENCO are determined by Telangana Electricity Regulatory Commission (TGERC). The company operates through a cost-plus return on equity model laid down by TGERC. Any significant delays in tariff approvals or a reduction in return on equity or a tightening of the TGERC norms could result in lower operating cash flows.
Acuité believes that any significant change in the regulatory environment will impinge on the credit profile of the company.
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