Moderate traffic potential of the project
Strong sponsor support SBTPL was incorporated in 2016, it is a special purpose vehicle (SPV) promoted by S.P.K. & Co to undertake widening of Madurai Ring Road from Double Lane to Four Lane in the state of Tamil Nadu on Build-OperateTransfer (BOT) Toll Basis. SBTPL is promoted by; Mr. S. Nagarajan holds 50 percent of the shareholding and he has about two decades of experience in the civil construction industry. Further, he is the Managing Partner of SPK&Co, the sponsoring entity has been in the road construction business for nearly two decades. Good traffic movement between Kappalur - Madurai connectivity support traffic volume, industry-backed traffic, leading to revenue growth over the medium term. The company has reported toll collections about 33.06 Cr in FY2022 and Rs.28.13 Cr upto November 2022.
Healthy financial risk profile
SBTPL's financial risk profile is healthy, is aided by a healthy networth, strong capital structure and robust debt protection metrics. SBTPL has healthy net worth at Rs. 129.08 Cr as on March 31, 2022 as against Rs.128.52 Cr as on previous year ending due to accretion of reserves during the same period. Healthy net worth couple with moderate debt levels show the healthy capital structure marked by gearing (debt-to equity) and total outside liabilities to tangible networth (TOL/TNW) levels of 0.90 times and 0.96 times as on March 31, 2022. Debt protection metrics were also moderate, reflected in debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) and net cash accrual to total debt ratio (NCA/TD) of 3.39 times and 0.12 times, respectively, in FY2022. SBTPL generated cash accruals of Rs.13.94 Cr in FY2022, while its maturing debt obligations were in the range of Rs.5.00 Cr during the same period. The cash accruals of the company are estimated to remain around Rs.17-20 Cr during 2023-25 while their repayment obligations are estimated to be around Rs.5-6 Cr during the same period. The average debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) is expected to be over 2 times over the tenure of the term loan, backed by prudent cash flow generating capacity of the project and low annual debt servicing obligation. The debt has a long tenure of 13 years, thereby spreading out principal repayment and reducing annual debt servicing obligation. Given the healthy cash flow cushion available for meeting debt servicing obligation and the steady toll revenue, the debt protection metrics should remain comfortable over the tenure of the debt. However, any additional debt, over and above the permitted indebtedness, taken by the company, will remain a rating sensitivity factor. Acuité believes that the financial risk profile of the company is expected to remain healthy over the medium term on account of no significant capex plans over the medium term.
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Susceptibility of toll revenue to volatility in traffic volume - inherent traffic volume risk
The project remains exposed to risks inherent in BOT (toll) road projects, including risks arising from variation in traffic volumes over the project stretch and its dependence on the economic activity in the surrounding regions, movement in WPI (for a toll rate hike), political acceptability of toll rate hike, development/improvement of alternate routes and the likelihood of toll leakages. Any reduction in either of these will have an adverse impact on toll collections. As commercial vehicles constitute a major portion of traffic on the road stretch, traffic volume will remain vulnerable to an economic slowdown. The cash flows of a toll-based project are dependent on traffic volumes which in turn are largely influenced by the level of economic activity in and around the area of operation. In the event of a project’s cash flows being insufficient to meet its debt servicing commitments/maintenance commitments, the support would be required to be extended from SPK.
Ensuring regular and periodic maintenance expenditure within budgeted levels
Periodic maintenance for the SBTPL due by FY2024-25 and SBTPL’s ability to execute planned major maintenance (MM) expenditures the activity within stipulated timelines and budgeted cost remains critical.
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