Experienced management and established track record of operations
Shah Paper Mills Limited was incorporated in 1990, reflecting established track record of operations of more than three decades. The company is promoted by Mr. Mahendra Shah, who has an experience of more than 35 years in the said line of business. The day-to-day operations of the company are managed by the promoter along with experienced senior management team who are ably supported by a strong line of mid-level managers. The extensive experience of the promoters has helped the company to established long and healthy relationships with its customers and suppliers over the years. Acuité believes that the company will continue to benefit from its experienced management and long track record of operations over the medium term.
Stable operating performance, albeit fluctuating profitability margins
The Company’s operating income grew at a compounded annual growth rate of ~12% as it recorded revenues of Rs.963.87 crore in FY2022 as against revenue of Rs.584.54 crore in FY2021 and Rs. 773.33 crore in FY2020. The growth in FY2022 is driven by the increase in demand as well as the price realization of the products. Further, the revenue of the company stood at Rs.716 crore till November 2022. The Company’s revenues are expected to improve in the medium term on account of the capital expenditure incurred to improve the quality of the paper. The capex is completed in November, 2022 and will aid the Company in manufacturing higher value added products which will aid it in improving its margins. The operating profit margin declined and stood at 3.25 percent in FY2022 compared to 6.97 percent in FY2021 as against 7.74 percent in FY2020. The decline in the operating margin in FY2022 is majorly on account of the increase in the raw material prices i.e., wastepaper prices and coal prices. As per the various industry reports, paper price jumped from Rs 39,000-46,000 per Metric Tonne (MT) (plus 12% GST) in March 2021 to Rs 75,000 per MT (plus 12% GST) in March 2022. However, the operating margin recovered and stood at 7.61 percent till September 2022 as the company was able to pass on the increased prices to majority of its customers during this period. The PAT margins stood at 0.53 percent in FY2022 from 1.20 percent in FY2021 as against 3.88 percent in FY2020. Acuité believes that the revenues of the company will continue to improve on account of the capital expenditure done by the company.
Moderate financial risk profile
The company’s financial risk profile is moderate marked by moderate networth, moderate gearing and comfortable debt protection metrics. The tangible net worth of the company stood at Rs.133.61 crore as on 31 March 2022 as against Rs.126.90 crore as on 31 March 2021 and Rs.114.55 crore as on 31 March 2020. The increase in the networth is majorly due to the accretion of profits in reserves. The gearing level stood at 1.36 times as on March 31,2022. The company’s total debt stood at Rs.182.01 crore which comprised of long-term debt of Rs.54.63 crore, short term debt of Rs.27.99 crore and unsecured loans of Rs.88.52 crore. The total debt in FY2021 stood at Rs.99.33 crore. The company has taken additional debt of Rs.65 crore in FY2022 and Rs.15 crore in FY2023 towards the capital expenditure incurred to manufacture higher value added product, which stands completed in November 2022. The cost of the project was Rs.90 Cr. The coverage ratios of the company stood moderate with Interest Coverage Ratio (ICR) of 2.32 times for FY2022 compared to 2.67 times for FY2021 as against 3.43 times for FY2020. The Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) stood at 1.85 times for FY2022 as against 1.80 times for FY2021 against 3.34 times for FY2020. The total outside liabilities to tangible net worth (TOL/TNW) of the company stood at 2.92 times as on 31 March 2022 as against 2.32 times as on 31 March 2021. Acuité believes that the financial risk profile of the company will remain moderate in the medium term.
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Working capital intensive operations
The company’s working capital operations are intensive as evident from Gross Current Asset (GCA) of 98 days as on March 31, 2022, as against 132 days as on March 31, 2021, and 107 days as on March 31,2020. The inventory levels stood at 35 days for FY2022 compared to 42 days for FY2021 as against 32 days for FY2020. The average inventory holding period is around 1 month. The debtor days stood at 36 days for FY2022 as against 67 days for FY2021 as against 60 days in FY2020. The average credit period allowed to the customers is around 30-60 days. The creditor days of the company stood at 67 days for FY2022 as against 116 days for FY2021 and 93 days for FY2020. The average credit period is around 90-120 days. The average utilization of the bank limits stood high at ~89 percent in last 6 months ended November 2022. Acuité believes that the working capital management of the company will continue to remain a key rating sensitivity going ahead.
Susceptibility of margins to raw material price fluctuation and foreign exchange fluctuation risk
The raw materials of the products manufactured by the company are wastepaper and coal. The prices of both the raw materials had surged in FY2022 and continues to be high in FY2023 as well. The increase in the raw material prices is expected to impact the operating profit margin of the company. Furthermore, the exports comprise of ~14 percent of the revenues in FY2022. As a result, the company’s business is exposed to fluctuations in foreign exchange rates. However, the risk is mitigated to an extent as the company receives payments on advance basis.
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