Criticality of RSRTC to the state and demonstrated support from the Government of Rajasthan (GoR)
The public road transport system in the state of Rajasthan is significantly dependent on RSRTC. Its large fleet of over 4500 buses is key towards maintaining intra and inter-state connectivity in Rajasthan. Further, RSRTC is also one of the largest government employers in the state of Rajasthan – employing more than 14,000 permanent employees. RSRTC is wholly owned by the Government of Rajasthan (GoR) and is a statutory body incorporated under the State Transport Corporation Act of 1950. Any disruption or failure in RSRTC’s operations can have a massive political and socio-economic implication for the GoR. Acuité, therefore believes that RSRTC holds a fairly high strategic importance for GoR. Further, the high moral obligation to support the entity is reflected in the availability of an unconditional and irrevocable guarantee from GoR to the bondholders of RSRTC. Also, GoR has extended its guarantee to the newly availed term loans for refinancing of its NCDs. Acuité believes that RSRTC with established market position, strategic importance to GoR in road transportation, long track record of over two decades and continuous support form state government will to benefit the corporation over the long term.
Presence of the Structured Payment Mechanism
The structured payment mechanism, as enshrined in the trust deed, assumingthat T is the due date for payment, the following timelines are expected to be followed:
- At T-10 days: The issuer will credit the requisite fund in TRA for the servicing of bondholders on the forthcoming due date ‘T’ or put them in Fixed Deposit(FD) with a designated bank and ensure the FD are liened in favor of the trustees. There should be a communication mechanism in place to ensure the flow of information related to the presence of funds in TRA to State Government and Trustees. In case, the issuer does not deposit the funds into the TRA, the issuer shall communicate by T-10 days, in writing to the Financial Secretary and/or designated official in state machinery with a copy of the same to the trustee and the credit rating agency. The issuer shall also request the state government to ensure that adequate clear funds are available in the TRA for servicing obligations on the bonds on the due date ‘T’.
- At T-7 days: In case of failure of intimation to the State government by the issuer, the trustee shall intimate the State Government at least 7 calendar days prior to the forthcoming due date.
- At T-4 days: The trustee shall ensure the transfer of funds from matured FDs to TRA.
In the event of state government failing to transfer clear funds in the TRA to make up the shortfall by T-4 working days, the trustee will forthwith invoke the guarantee issued by the state government and inform the credit rating agency about the same.
On invocation of guarantee, the state government must promptly deposit clear funds, to the extent of shortfall, into the TRA prior to the due date. The rating factors in adherence to the above structured payment mechanism, which will continue to be administered by the trustees to the NCD.
Further, GoR has also extended guarantee to term loans availed from lenders for refinancing of the NCDs.
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Continuing losses and weak financial risk profile
The corporation has reported total income of Rs. 1454.62 Cr for FY21 (Provisional) as against Rs.2034.66 Cr for FY20. Albeit, the corporation has reported operating profit of Rs.6.35 crores for FY21 (Provisional) as against operating loss of Rs.50.67 crore in FY20. The same is on account of decline in power cost and license and taxes chanrges. The corporation continues to report net loss. The continuous losses over the year and revaluation reserve have resulted in erosion of net worth, thereby resulting in weak financial risk profile. The entity has witnessed improvement in financial performance during 9MFY22, wherein RSRTC has reported total operating income of Rs.1043.32 crore in during 9MFY22 as against Rs. 516.93 crore during 9MFY21. On operational front, revenue per Km has increased from Rs.32.57 in 9MFY21 to Rs.36.15 in 9MFY22. The net loss, however increased to Rs. 223.27 crore as against Rs.186.50 crore. The entity is expected to receive Government grant of Rs. 667.64 crore during FY22, of which Rs.200.0 crore has already been received during 9MFY22. Acuite believes that post COVID relaxation and increase in movement of public, the operating revenue of the entity is expected to increase going ahead.
Acuite believes that ability of corporation to receive grant from State Government of Rajasthan would be crucia for maintaining the stability in revenue and operating profit going ahead.
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