Extensive experience of promoters in the steel industry
The Group has an experience of more than three decades in the steel manufacturing. The key promoter of the group is Mr. Vinod Garg, who possesses experience spanning more than three decades in the iron and steel industry. The extensive experience of the promoter has helped the company establish long-term relationships with its customers and suppliers for repeat orders. The senior management team is ably supported by a strong line of mid-level managers who have extensive experience in their respective fields. Over the years of operations, the group has gradually increased its capacities and its integration level, benefiting their day-to-day operations. The steel manufacturing facilities of the group are located in proximity to the sources of key raw materials. Acuité believes that the extensive experience of the promoters with a strong understanding of market dynamics, healthy relations with customers and suppliers, and a positive domestic demand outlook will continue to benefit the business profile of the group over the medium term.
Improved business risk profile supported by integrated nature of operations
The strong business risk profile of the group is supported by the integrated nature of operations, which enhances operating efficiencies and mitigates the risks arising from the cyclical nature of the steel industry to some extent. The group's manufacturing facilities are integrated with the manufacturing of sponge iron, ingots and billets, and TMT bars. The integration in operations lends to considerable operational efficiency and flexibility in changing the product mix as per market demand. The revenue from operations of the group has improved from Rs. 1870.22 crore in FY2023 as compared to revenues of Rs. 1,360.17 crore in FY2022. The group is estimated to register revenue of Rs. 1987.51 crore in FY2024 (estimation). However, the operating profit margin of the group deteriorated marginally from 4.79 percent in FY2022 to 4.49 percent in FY2023 on account of an increase in raw material prices. The group is estimated to register operating margins of around 5.56 percent in FY24, backed by economies of scale of operations due to increased capacity. Acuité believes the revenue from operations of the group will continue to improve over the medium term, backed by backward integration, a rise in capacity utilization, and buoyancy in the steel industry.
Healthy financial risk profile
The group’s financial risk profile is healthy, marked by a healthy net worth, low gearing, and comfortable debt protection metrics. The group’s net worth improved to Rs. 341.03 crore as of March 31, 2023, as against Rs. 292.22 crore as of March 31, 2022, on account of the accretion of profits to reserves during the same period. The gearing level of the group deteriorated and stood at 1.33 times as of March 31st, 2023, compared to 1.07 times as of March 31st, 2022. The deterioration is primarily on account of additional debt available for capex in PSPL. Furthermore, the total outside liabilities to tangible net worth (TOL/TNW) stood at 1.65 times as of March 31, 2023, respectively, vis-à-vis 1.38 times as of March 31, 2022. The debt protection metrics remain comfortable, marked by the interest coverage ratio and net cash accruals to total debt (NCA/TD) at 3.69 times and 0.12 times, respectively, in FY2023 as against 3.05 times and 0.12 times, respectively, in FY2022. Also, the debt service coverage ratio was 2.09 times for FY2023 compared to 1.93 times for FY2022. Acuité believes that the group’s financial risk profile will remain healthy on account of no major debt-funded capex over the medium term.
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Moderate intensive nature of working capital operations
The Group’s operations are moderately working capital intensive in nature, as reflected by its gross current asset (GCA) days of 110–125 during the last three years ended March 31, 2023. The inventory days ranged between 64 to 71 days, and the debtor's days ranged between 41 to 44 days during the last three years ended March 31, 2023. To support the working capital, the group stretches the creditors to an extent of about 21–27 days during the last three years ended March 31, 2022. Its bank limits are moderately utilized at 72 percent during the past 12 months through April 2024. Acuité believes that the working capital management of the group for operations will remain a key rating sensitivity going forward.
Susceptibility to cyclicality in the steel industry and end-user industry
The domestic steel sector is characterized by demand cyclicality, volatility in raw material and metal prices, high regulatory risk, and the risk of imports. Group operates in the cyclical steel industry, thus making it vulnerable to downturns in industry demand, leading to a decline in realizations and profitability. Moreover, the bulk of its revenue is derived from the cyclical domestic end-use industry; demand depends on economic growth and consumer sentiments, and thus any decline in demand can also have an adverse impact on sales and profitability for the group. Demand for steel products depends on the level of construction and infrastructure activities and any movement in economic cycles. Furthermore, the steel industry remains exposed to global steel prices. While the cost-efficient and integrated domestic steel operations of the company partially cushion profitability against cyclical downturns, it will remain exposed to inherent price and demand volatility in the steel industry. Acuité believes that domestic consumption growth will continue in FY2024 and FY2025, underpinned by demand growth from construction, real estate, automobiles, and consumer durables segments. High government spending on infrastructure, private sector capex, and the availability of credit will support demand growth in the end-user segment.
Susceptibility to fluctuations in raw material prices or changes in government regulations
The group’s operating profitability remained range-bound between 4.49 percent and 4.85 percent for the three years ended March 31, 2023, as it is susceptible to fluctuations in raw material prices. The sector participants typically have high operating and financial leverage, large working capital requirements, and large-sized debt capital funding from the capex. Domestic steel producers are substantially dependent on imports of coking coal, and hence, any supply-side issue could have a material impact on utilization and profitability. In addition metal prices are heavily dependent on international prices, as the domestic market is open for imports. China has been a key exporter in the international market and accounts for about 50% of global production. Hence, any changes in its economic policies that could impact infrastructure spending or the easing of environmental norms can materially impact metal prices. Acuité believes that increasing scale would result in better absorption and higher margins, which would remain key rating monitorable.
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