Track record of Pragnya Group in the real-estate sector; promoter’s industry experience and established regional presence
Incorporated in 2010, Pragnya Fund II is a Mauritius-based private equity fund with the principal objective of investing in property development projects through designated special purpose vehicles domiciled in India and Sri Lanka. The fund has been established to enable selective institutional investors, corporate and high net worth individual investors to invest in opportunities within the real estate sector in India and Sri Lanka. Pragnya Fund II is currently invested in Project Platinum, Colombo, Project Hazel, Chennai, Project Habitat Crest, Bangalore, Project Bridge Country, Rajahmundry amongst others. The directors of the company are Mr. Menon Gopal, Mr. Ramtoola Ashraf and Mr. Rungapadiachy Kamalam Pillay. Pragnya Fund II is the part of Pragnya Group, managed by Mr. Subba R Dukkipati and Mr. Gopal Menon. The managing partners of the group has more than 2 decades of experience in the real estate industry. Acuité believes that promoters’ extensive industry experience and leveraging of its brand equity will lead to low implementation and moderate demand risk associated with on-going projects of HRPL over the medium term.
Strong support from Pragnya Group
HRPL’s on-going projects are under the directions of the Pragnya group as the same will provide its expertise in the execution of the project. Pragnya Group, besides the operational support also has been subscribing to the unsecured NCDs of Rs.66.90 Cr issued by HRPL. The unsecured NCDs were issued in the year 2014-16. The group has been extending the repayment terms of the unsecured NCDs and also waiving off the interest of the same over the past years to support the cash flows of the HRPL. These NCDs are subscribed by the Pragnya Fund II and consists of Promoters infused fund. The unsecured NCD’s tenure is expected to be extended over the years along with waiver of the interest obligation on the same to support the financial profile of HRPL. Besides, subscribing to the unsecured NCDs, group companies of Pragnya has also provided intercorporate borrowings (ICBs) to an extent of Rs.13.44 Cr as of March 31, 2022 to HRPL. Besides, Pragnya Fund II and Pragnyacrest Properties Private Limited is expected to extended a corporate guarantee and shortfall undertaking for the Proposed secured NCDs to be issued by HRPL. Acuité believes that the presence of operational and financial support from the Pragnya Group is likely to augment the business and financial risk profile of the company.
Presence of escrow account and sweep ratio to ensure timely repayment
The investors to the NCDs are expected to benefit from the escrow account and the sweep mechanism for servicing principal, interest, and other obligations payable towards the arrangement. HRPL’s all sale proceeds are rerouted through escrow account to monitor and use the collections from the sold and unsold units. The debenture trustee shall have sole and exclusive charge over the NCDs escrow Account in the name of the Issuer. The investors can draw comfort from the presence of Interest Service Account (ISA) and Interest Reserve Service Account (ISRA). HRPL has to maintain an ISA equivalent to for 1 months’ interest and ISRA equivalent to 2 months’ interest in a fixed deposit in the NCD Escrow Account. The lender has right to utilize 100 percent collection from receivables of sold units and 50 percent collections from new sales . The sales of units are expected to be completed by March’23 ensuring the NCDs would be repaid by the same period on account of the sweep clause. HRPL needs to maintain ‘security cover’ of 2x the value of outstanding investment. In case the security cover drops below the requisite 2.00x, HRPL shall make good the shortfall repayment of the outstanding Face Value and/or by providing additional security in favor of the Trustee. Acuité believes that the presence of adequate liquidity buffers and the trustee oversight mechanism will strengthen the payment structure of the proposed NCDs.
Low project risk profile
The project construction is completed for all the 6 towers with some minor finishing work pending for Tower A, resulting in low implementation risk. The major project cost will be towards the marketing, administration and other cost. The real estate market has been growing across the country and the micro market at Avadi- Poonamallee Road, Chennai and from the on-going financial year FY2023 sales data, the sales velocity has been improved for the project in comparison to the past years. With 93 percent of the total residential units booked as of Septemebr’2022, the demand risk of the project is moderate. Acuité believes that the project risk profile of HRPL will remain low over the medium term.
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Past Delays in the project completion; Extension in RERA
HRPL is developing a residential apartment project named as “Hazel” spread across 5.67 acres of land located in Chennai. The residential unit’s size ranges from 568 sq. ft to 1647 sq. ft and the project consists of 1-BHK, 2-BHK and 3-BHK apartments. The project was successfully launched during 2012 but was delayed in comparison with the estimated completion period. Acuité Ratings & Research Limited www.acuite.in The delays initially were on account of lack of focus on project by VGN Group on account of multiple on-going projects and it was one of the reason, Pragnya group acquired the project completely in 2014. Further, the project constructions were disrupted on account of events such as floods, demonetization, cyclone, implementation of GST, lack of uninterrupted supply of raw materials, project cost overruns etc. Acuité believes that any further delay could impact the project risk profile of HRPL over the near to medium term.
High geographical concentration risk in revenue profile with upcoming projects
HRPL’s on-going project are located in Avadi- Poonamallee Road, Chennai; with no plans to diversify in the medium term. Acuité believes that HRPL would remain geographically concentrated until the start-up and successful completion of any project and receipt of healthy customer advances through the sale of entire units in any other region in future.
Susceptible to real estate cyclicality and regulatory risks
The real estate industry in India is highly fragmented with most of the real estate developers, having a city-specific or region-specific presence. The risks associated with the real estate industry are cyclical in nature of business (drop in property prices) and interest rate risk, among others, which could affect the operations. HRPL is exposed to the risk of volatile prices on account of demand-supply mismatches in the Chennai real estate industry. The company is exposed to market risks for the unsold inventory, in terms of sales velocity, pricing and timely collection, particularly if there are sustained lockdowns owing to Covid-19 pandemic. Further, the industry is exposed to regulatory risk, which is likely to impact players such as HRPL, thereby impacting its operating capabilities. However, Acuité believes that from the customer demand for the project being mitigates the risks to an extent on account of improved sales velocity in current financial year.
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