Established player in dairy products with a strong regional presence
GMPL, led by Mr. Sanjeevraje Naik Nimbalkar, has been operating in the diary business for more than 2 decades. The company has an established procurement and distribution network for milk and milk products from farmers. GMPL has over 240 collection centres and 10 chilling centres all over India to cater to the demand. GMPL which has traditionally catered in the Maharashtra, Gujarat, Karnataka and Goa regions backed by a strong brand presence and high demand prospects due to increasing consumption of milk products has started marketing its products in Northern and North Eastern states such as Haryana, Punjab Rajasthan, Tripura, Assam, Meghalaya domestically and in the Middle East region by partnering with hypermarket chains like Lulu from FY2021.The company exports to Gulf countries like Bahrain, Qatar, Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Oman, etc. under its own brand name.
Acuité believes that GMPL will continue to benefit from the company’s established presence and brand recognition in the industry and among the consumers supporting its business risk profile over the medium term.
Moderate business risk profile
GMPL's business risk profile is supported by a diversified revenue stream such as packaged milk, cream, butter, ghee, curd, paneer, SMP, flavoured milk, tetra pack lassi and buttermilk. The company caters to reputed companies such as, Abbott Healthcare Private Limited, Mother Dairy Fruit & Vegetable Private Limited amongst others. The company has started focusing on Middle Eastern region as a source of growth. The company has been able to add several new companies to its customer portfolio such as Baskin Robbins, Ferrero Rocher, Dandy Dairy, Parle Agro and Britannia, to name a few. The company’s operating income stood at Rs.1059.93 crore in FY2023 as against Rs.831.65 crore in FY2022 registering a growth of ~27 percent. The increase in revenue is due to an increase in quantity sold and improvement in realisation.
Moderate financial risk profile
The company has moderate financial risk profile marked by tangible net worth of Rs.95.76 crore as on 31 March, 2023 as against Rs.91.13 crore as on 31 March, 2022. The gearing level of the company increased to 1.47 times as on 31 March, 2023 as against 1.19 times as on 31 March, 2022. The total debt of Rs.108.19 crore consists of working capital borrowings of Rs.59.56 crore, unsecured loan from promoters of Rs.13.24 crore and term loan of Rs.35.39 crore as on 31 March, 2022.
The coverage ratios of the company are moderate with Interest Coverage Ratio (ICR) of 2.37 times for FY2023E against 2.44 times for FY2022. Also, the Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) stood at 1.05 times for FY2023E against 0.99 times for FY2022. The total outside liabilities to tangible net worth (TOL/TNW) of the company stood at 2.28 times as on March 31, 2023 against 2.00 times as on March 31, 2022.
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Susceptibility to changes in government regulations and environmental conditions and milk prices
GMPL, like all dairy players, is susceptible to government regulations such as ban on skimmed milk powder (SMP) exports and removal of export incentives. Furthermore, it is susceptible to failure in milk production because of external factors such as cattle diseases. At the same time, it is also susceptible to volatile milk prices. The company’s operating profit margin stood at 2.73% in FY2023E as against 2.64% in FY2022 and 4.25% in FY2021.
Highly competitive industry
The dairy industry is highly fragmented with large number of unorganised players. The company also faces competition from some of the big players such as Amul, Parag, Karnataka Milk Federation, among others in the organised segment. While the dairy segment has attracted significant PE investments in the past, which has supported the companies in the segment, it has also increased the competitive intensity among the players. This limits the company’s ability to significantly improve the margins. Also, ensuring competitive remuneration to the farmers for procurement of milk would be a key sensitivity for maintaining a steady supply chain.
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