Experienced promoters and long track record of operations
Goel ganga group was founded by Mr. Jaiprakash Goel in 1983. This shows the long extensive experience of the group of more than four decades in the real estate business. The group has been able to successfully complete over 125 projects in Pune, Mumbai, Bengaluru, and Nagpur. They have a strong presence in the Pune real estate segment. With the long track record of operations, the group has been able to complete the projects with built-up area of 1,31,85,820 sq. fts. Acuité believes that the long operational track record of the group and promoter’s extensive understanding and expertise will support the group’s growth plans going forward.
Healthy sales and collection traction
The company has been able to sell on an average 62 units of ‘Ganga legend’ in each quarter last year wherein majority of the sales were done in the last quarter as the company has appointed a marketing team for the promotion of the project which has helped the group to increase their sales. Against the sales, the company has been able to make an average collection of Rs.26 crores for each quarter. Till September 22, additional 162 flats were sold. For the project ‘Gangadham towers’ the average quarterly collections were of Rs.20 crores with average around 5 units sold every quarter. For this project additional 5 floors were added to the towers and an additional commercial complex will be built. Till September 22, 7 flats were sold. For the project ‘Ganga glitz 1’ the average quarterly collections were of Rs.6 crore with around average 18 units sold every quarter. For the 2 quarters since March’22, 13 units were sold. In ‘Ganga millennia’ on an average 25 units were sold every quarter against which the average collections stood at Rs.5 crores. Till September 22, 34 additional units were sold. For the ‘Ganga altus’ project the average quarterly collections were of Rs.15 crores with average around 56 units sold every quarter. Additional 34 units were sold from March 22 till September 22. This shows a healthy sales traction for the projects. Out of the disbursed loan amount of Rs.1076.10 crores, the group was able to repay ~Rs.355 crores on account of healthy sales traction for the projects. However, it also has significant repayment obligations over the next two years. However, an outstanding loan taken for the ‘Gangadham Towers’ project has now been taken over by another bank along with an additional debt of Rs.80 crores and a moratorium is offered till Q2FY26 and this would provide additional cushion for the repayment obligations. The total debt outstanding for GGIPL stands at Rs.720.68 crores as on February 2022 while its maturing debt obligations stood at Rs.272 crores for FY23 and Rs.217 crores for FY24. Acuité believes that GGIPL’s healthy sales traction will remain key for it to generate cash inflows commensurate with its repayment obligations and hence will be key rating monitorable.
|
Completion risk
The project ‘Ganga legend’ was started in October 2014. Out of the 7 towers,4 are already completed and the remaining 3 ie B4 is 75 percent completed,A2 is 65 percent completed and B2 is 15 percent completed. This project is expected to be completed by October 2024. The estimated total cost for this project is Rs.982.26 crores. The project ‘Gangadham towers’ was started in January 2017. There have been changes done in the project and additional 5 floors will be added to the existing 27 floors of A,B and C towers. Along with this, the Group is planning to construct a commercial complex of 10 floors. The expected completion date has now been revised from June 2025 to October 2026. The total estimated cost for this project is Rs.946.88 crores. The project ‘Ganga glitz I’ was started in September 2017. In the 'Ganga glitz I' project 3 towers ie H,I and F are already completed and G is 75 percent completed. The expected completion of this project is December 2022. The total estimated cost for the project is Rs.384.83 crores. For the project ‘Ganga millennia’ the start date was October 2020. In the Ganga millennia project J tower is 75 percent completed and K tower is 65 percent completed. This project is expected to be completed by January 2024. The estimated cost of the project is Rs.144.40 crores. The project ‘Ganga altus’ was started in October 2020. In the 'Ganga altus' project D tower is completed 65 percent, E tower is completed 50 percent and F tower is completed 75 percent. All the towers are expected to be completed by January 2023. The estimated cost for the project is Rs.222.12 crores. Acuite also observes that the projects have largely been funded by debt and customer advances and the promoters contribution is limited. DCCO extension was sought by GGIPL from 4 banks in 2021 due to extension in some projects. However although the completion of the ongoing projects is pending in GGIPL, there are adequate receivables on the sold flats available for all the projects to cover the cost left to be incurred for the projects and to complete the projects and thus mitigating the completion risk to some extent. Also there exists no funding risk for the projects as all the debt tie ups have already been done. The healthy sales traction observed over the past year also shows that there is a healthy demand for the projects and thus mitigates the demand risk to some extent. Acuite believes, completion of projects without further time or cost over runs will continue remain key rating sensitivity.
Corporate guarantee given to a subsidiary company
GGIPL also has a subsidiary company named ‘Goel ganga infrastructure and real estate pvt ltd’. The subsidiary company is executing a project in Nagpur named ‘Glocal square’ for which the company has taken a construction finance loan from PNB finance amounting to Rs.225 crores and GGIPL has provided the corporate guarantee of Rs.465 crores for the same. Acuité believes that cashflows from the project and the timely completion of the project will be a key sensitivity in medium term. Inherent cyclicality in Real Estate Sector and geographical concentration risk The real estate industry in India is highly fragmented with most of the real estate developers, having a city specific or region-specific presence. The risks associated with the real estate industry are cyclical in nature of business (drop in property prices) and interest rate risk, among others, which could affect the operations. GGIPL is also exposed to high geographical concentration as its all the projects are concentrated Maharashtra, majorly in Pune region. Thus, any negative development in this area could hurt the overall operations and project planning of the company.
Inherent cyclicality in Real Estate Sector and geographical concentration risk
The real estate industry in India is highly fragmented with most of the real estate developers, having a city specific or region-specific presence. The risks associated with the real estate industry are cyclical in nature of business (drop in property prices) and interest rate risk, among others, which could affect the operations.s. GGIPL is also exposed to high geographical concentration as its all the projects are concentrated Maharashtra, majorly in Pune region. Thus, any negative development in this area could hurt the overall operations and project planning of the company.
|