Product Quantum (Rs. Cr) Long Term Rating Short Term Rating
Bank Loan Ratings 190.16 ACUITE BBB- | Stable | Assigned -
Bank Loan Ratings 30.00 ACUITE BBB- | Stable | Reaffirmed -
Total Outstanding Quantum (Rs. Cr) 220.16 - -
Total Withdrawn Quantum (Rs. Cr) 0.00 - -
 
Rating Rationale

­Acuité has reaffirmed and assigned its long-term rating of ‘ACUITE BBB-’ (read as ACUITE triple B minus) on the Rs.220.16 crore bank facilities of Goel ganga India private limited (GGIPL). The outlook is 'Stable'.

Rationale for the rating reaffirmation
The rating reaffirmation takes into consideration the extensive experience of the promoters in the real estate segment along with GGIPL's healthy sales and collection traction over the past 12 months. The ratings are however constrained on account of moderate execution risk in GGIPL's ongoing projects and its exposure the inherent cyclicality in the real estate market. The ratings also takes into consideration the land dispute between GGIPL and Mr Rahul Tikone regarding the land in Bibwewadi,Pune. However, Acuite understands that now the dispute has been resolved and a MOU has been signed by both the parties. GGIPL’s ability to maintain its sales and collection traction and timely completion of ongoing projects will remain key rating sensitivities.


About the Company

­Goel Ganga group, promoted by Shri. Jaiprakash Goel (Founder & Chairman), Dr. Atul Goel (Managing Director) & Mr. Amit Goel (Director) is a Principal Investment Holding company, a Corporate Institution & professionally managed company. Goel ganga india private limited is the flagship company under which currently 5 projects are being executed. The name of the 5 projects are: Ganga legend located in Bavdhan,Pune, Gangadham towers located in Bibwewadi,Pune, Ganga glitz and Ganga millennia projects located in Undri,Pune and Ganga altus project located in Kharadi,Pune

 
Analytical Approach

­Acuité has considered the standalone business and financial risk profile of GGIPL to arrive at the rating.

 

Key Rating Drivers

Strengths

­­Experienced promoters and long track record of operations
Goel ganga group was founded by Mr. Jaiprakash Goel in 1983. This shows the long extensive  experience of the group of more than four decades in the real estate business. The group has been able to successfully complete over 125 projects in Pune, Mumbai, Bengaluru, and Nagpur. They have a strong presence in the Pune real estate segment. With the long track record of operations, the group has been able to complete the projects with built-up area of 1,31,85,820 sq. fts. Acuité believes that the long operational track record of the group and promoter’s extensive understanding and expertise will support the group’s growth plans going forward.

Healthy sales and collection traction
The company has been able to sell on an average 62 units of ‘Ganga legend’ in each quarter last year wherein majority of the sales were done in the last quarter as the company has appointed a marketing team for the promotion of the project which has helped the group to increase their sales. Against the sales, the company has been able to make an average collection of Rs.26 crores for each quarter. Till September 22, additional 162 flats were sold. For the project ‘Gangadham towers’ the average quarterly collections were of Rs.20 crores with average around 5 units sold every quarter. For this project additional 5 floors were added to the towers and an additional commercial complex will be built. Till September 22, 7 flats were sold. For the project ‘Ganga glitz 1’ the average quarterly collections were of Rs.6 crore with around average 18 units sold every quarter. For the 2 quarters since March’22, 13 units were sold. In ‘Ganga millennia’ on an average 25 units were sold every quarter against which the average collections stood at Rs.5 crores. Till September 22, 34 additional units were sold. For the ‘Ganga altus’ project the average quarterly collections were of Rs.15 crores with average around 56 units sold every quarter. Additional 34 units were sold from March 22 till September 22. This shows a healthy sales traction for the projects. Out of the disbursed loan amount of Rs.1076.10 crores, the group was able to repay ~Rs.355 crores on account of healthy sales traction for the projects. However, it also has significant repayment obligations over the next two years. However, an outstanding loan taken for the ‘Gangadham Towers’ project has now been taken over by another bank along with an additional debt of Rs.80 crores and a moratorium is offered  till Q2FY26 and this would provide additional cushion for the repayment obligations. The total debt outstanding for GGIPL stands at Rs.720.68 crores as on February 2022 while its maturing debt obligations stood at Rs.272 crores for FY23 and Rs.217 crores for FY24. Acuité believes that GGIPL’s healthy sales traction will remain key for it to generate cash inflows commensurate with its repayment obligations and hence will be key rating monitorable.

Weaknesses

­Completion risk
The project ‘Ganga legend’ was started in October 2014. Out of the 7 towers,4 are already completed and the remaining 3 ie B4 is 75 percent completed,A2 is 65 percent completed and B2 is 15 percent completed. This project is expected to be completed by October 2024. The estimated total cost for this project is Rs.982.26 crores. The project ‘Gangadham towers’ was started in January 2017. There have been changes done in the project and additional 5 floors will be added to the existing 27 floors of A,B and C towers. Along with this, the Group is planning to construct a commercial complex of 10 floors. The expected completion date has now been revised from June 2025 to October 2026. The total estimated cost for this project is Rs.946.88 crores. The project ‘Ganga glitz I’ was started in September 2017. In the 'Ganga glitz I' project 3 towers ie H,I and F are already completed and G is 75 percent completed. The expected completion of this project is December 2022. The total estimated cost for the project is Rs.384.83 crores. For the project ‘Ganga millennia’ the start date was October 2020. In the Ganga millennia project J tower is 75 percent completed and K tower is 65 percent completed. This project is expected to be completed by January 2024. The estimated cost of the project is Rs.144.40 crores. The project ‘Ganga altus’ was started in October 2020. In the 'Ganga altus' project D tower is completed 65 percent, E tower is completed 50 percent and F tower is completed 75 percent. All the towers are expected to be completed by January 2023. The estimated cost for the project is Rs.222.12 crores. Acuite also observes that the projects have largely been funded by debt and customer advances and the promoters contribution is limited. DCCO extension was sought by GGIPL from 4 banks in 2021 due to extension in some projects. However although the completion of the ongoing projects is pending in GGIPL, there are adequate receivables on the sold flats available for all the projects to cover the cost left to be incurred for the projects and to complete the projects and thus mitigating the completion risk to some extent. Also there exists no funding risk for the projects as all the debt tie ups have already been done. The healthy sales traction observed over the past year also shows that there is a healthy demand for the projects and thus mitigates the demand risk to some extent. Acuite believes, completion of projects without further time or cost over runs will continue remain key rating sensitivity.

Corporate guarantee given to a subsidiary company

GGIPL also has a subsidiary company named ‘Goel ganga infrastructure and real estate pvt ltd’. The subsidiary company is executing a project in Nagpur named ‘Glocal square’ for which the company has taken a construction finance loan from PNB finance amounting to Rs.225 crores and GGIPL has provided the corporate guarantee of Rs.465 crores for the same. Acuité believes that cashflows from the project and the timely completion of the project will be a key sensitivity in medium term. Inherent cyclicality in Real Estate Sector and geographical concentration risk The real estate industry in India is highly fragmented with most of the real estate developers, having a city specific or region-specific presence. The risks associated with the real estate industry are cyclical in nature of business (drop in property prices) and interest rate risk, among others, which could affect the operations. GGIPL is also exposed to high geographical concentration as its all the projects are concentrated Maharashtra, majorly in Pune region. Thus, any negative development in this area could hurt the overall operations and project planning of the company.

Inherent cyclicality in Real Estate Sector and geographical concentration risk

The real estate industry in India is highly fragmented with most of the real estate developers, having a city specific or region-specific presence. The risks associated with the real estate industry are cyclical in nature of business (drop in property prices) and interest rate risk, among others, which could affect the operations.s. GGIPL is also exposed to high geographical concentration as its all the projects are concentrated Maharashtra, majorly in Pune region. Thus, any negative development in this area could hurt the overall operations and project planning of the company.

ESG Factors Relevant for Rating

­The infrastructure development industry has a significant social impact since it is a labour intensive business. Further, community support and development, employee safety and human rights are material factors from the social perspective. Governance issues that assume relevance include board and management compensation, shareholders rights and board diversity. The extent of direct or indirect emissions and the efficiency of deployment of vehicle fleets and heavy machinery has a considerable impact in the environmental performance of this industry. Since material costs are relatively high, strategies should be in place to reduce wastages and recycle raw materials to the extent possible to minimise the environmental impact.GGIPL adheres to execute the project with consistent cost control and quality assurance.On the corporate governance front, the company applies internal governance structures such as Code of Conduct, Business Excellence Model and Code of corporate disclosure policies.

 
Rating Sensitivities

­Completion of ongoing projects without further time and cost overruns
Lower than expected sales and collection traction leading to deterioration in liquidity profile

 
Material covenants
­None
 
Liquidity position: Adequate

­The liquidity profile of the company is expected to be adequate on account of adequate cushion between repayments and cash inflows. The promoter has also infused funds for the projects. The DSCR is expected to be in the range of 1.02-2.21 times. The group has a landbank of around 840 acres across areas like Lohegaon, Bibwewadi, Wakad, Wagholi,etc have a market value of ~Rs.4379 crores. This would support the liquidity of the group.

 
Outlook: Stable

­Acuité believes that the GGIPL will maintain 'Stable' business risk profile over the medium term on the back of experienced promoters and strong brand presence in the real estate industry. The outlook may be revised to 'Positive' in case of higher-than-expected advances from customers resulting in adequate cash flows for early completion of the project and prepaying the debt. Conversely, the outlook may be revised to 'Negative' in case of any undue delay in completion of the project, or less-than-expected bookings and advance leading to stretch on its liquidity.

 
Other Factors affecting Rating
­None
 

Particulars Unit FY 22 (Provisional) FY 21 (Actual)
Operating Income Rs. Cr. 270.43 288.57
PAT Rs. Cr. (200.34) (229.70)
PAT Margin (%) (74.08) (79.60)
Total Debt/Tangible Net Worth Times 0.94 0.95
PBDIT/Interest Times (0.92) (0.81)
Status of non-cooperation with previous CRA (if applicable)
­None
 
Any other information
­None
 
Applicable Criteria
• Default Recognition :- https://www.acuite.in/view-rating-criteria-52.htm
• Application Of Financial Ratios And Adjustments: https://www.acuite.in/view-rating-criteria-53.htm
• Real Estate Entities: https://www.acuite.in/view-rating-criteria-63.htm

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument

­In order to inform the investors about complexity of instruments, Acuité has categorized such instruments in three levels: Simple, Complex and Highly Complex. Acuite’s categorisation of the instruments across the three categories is based on factors like variability of the returns to the investors, uncertainty in cash flow patterns, number of counterparties and general understanding of the instrument by the market. It has to be understood that complexity is different from credit risk and even an instrument categorized as 'Simple' can carry high levels of risk. For more details, please refer Rating Criteria “Complexity Level Of Financial Instruments” on www.acuite.in.

 

Date Name of Instruments/Facilities Term Amount (Rs. Cr) Rating/Outlook
05 Sep 2022 Term Loan Long Term 30.00 ACUITE BBB- | Stable (Assigned)
­

Lender’s Name ISIN Facilities Date Of Issuance Coupon Rate Maturity Date Quantum (Rs. Cr.) Complexity Level Rating
Karur Vysya Bank Not Applicable Term Loan Not available Not available Not available 30.00 Simple ACUITE BBB- | Stable | Reaffirmed
Karur Vysya Bank Not Applicable Term Loan Not available Not available Not available 0.06 Simple ACUITE BBB- | Stable | Assigned
Indusind Bank Ltd Not Applicable Term Loan Not available Not available Not available 129.11 Simple ACUITE BBB- | Stable | Assigned
Aditya Birla Capital Not Applicable Term Loan Not available Not available Not available 60.99 Simple ACUITE BBB- | Stable | Assigned

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About Acuité Ratings & Research

Acuité Ratings & Research Limitedwww.acuite.in