Moderate project risk
The project implementation risk is moderate marked by 48% completion of Project A and 35% of the Project B till December 31, 2024. Further, out of the total project cost of Rs. 526.60 Cr., as on December 31, 2024, the company has incurred Rs. 230.76 Cr. which has been funded by term loan of Rs. 68.67 Cr., Rs. 152.55 Cr. from promotors' contribution and remaining Rs. 9.54 Cr. from advances from customers for the residential units. The funding risk is moderate as the debt tie-ups have already been completed. Further, since the company has been managing majority of its expenses till date through promoter and unsecured loan infusions, the loan disbursal has been slow with only Rs. 76.35 Cr. of total loan of Rs. 190 Cr. disbursed till date. Additionally, owing to the decline in the global prices of cement and steel, the company expects reduction in the total project cost.
Further, while the company has sold 16 units out of 60 residential units till Feb’25, has entered into lease agreements with some of the leading brands like H&M, Shoppers Stop, PVR Inox, Time zone, however, the demand risk remains high pertaining to the cyclical nature of the real estate industry, unsold inventory for the residential units and commercial office space along with effective strategy to attract customers for higher occupancy in the hotel. Therefore, timely completion of the project and materialisation of the same shall remain a key rating sensitivity.
Incentives from central and state government
The company has signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Assam state government wherein the government will be providing incentives and subsidies for the investments incurred to construct the hotel. Additionally, the company has filed an application with the central government to receive incentives under Uttar Poorva Transformative Industrialization Scheme (UNNATI) 2024. Hence, the company will be receiving incentives in the form of waiver of electricity duty, capital investment incentives, interest subsidy, reimbursement of fixed capital investment, subsidy on various equipment as well which will further support the cashflows of the company.
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Greenfield entry of promoter in real estate business
The promoters are into the business of cement manufacturing, manufacturing of asbestos sheet, D.G set manufacturing and dealership of corrugated boxes. The promoters also have prior experience of running Asclepius Hospitals Private Limited (Excel Care), a premium hospital catering across Northeast region. However, promoters/directors of the company have no experience of setting up real estate projects and operating malls and this venture is a greenfield project for them. However, to mitigate this risk, GICPL has appointed consultants having experience in the real estate industry.
Susceptibility to cyclicality inherent in the Indian real estate industry
The real estate segment in India is cyclical and affected by volatile prices, opaque transactions and a highly fragmented market structure. Moreover, the industry is also exposed to certain regulatory policies and regulations which directly impact the demand and operating growth of real estate players. Further, the occupancy levels for the hotel shall be dependent on the seasonality of the tourism. Hence, business risk profile will remain susceptible to risks arising from any industry slowdown.
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