Experienced management and established track record of operations
ASFPL has almost one decade of experience in manufacturing of flexible packing material for companies in FMCG, pharma, industrial application and agriculture sectors. Company is currently managed by Mr.Ashwini Kumar Paramanand Hemdev, Ms. Renu Nischaldas Chugh and Ms.Simran Ashwini Kumar Hemdev. The experience of promotors has helped the company to establish long-term relationships with its reputed customers namely ITC Limited, Britannia Industries Ltd to name a few for recurring orders. ASFPL procures multilayer plastic from its suppliers and manufactures flexible packing material as per the requirement of their customers. The established presence and recurring orders from its customer has helped the company to increase its scale of operations which stood at Rs.136.63 Cr in FY2023(Prov) as against Rs. 85.94 Cr in FY2022 and Rs. 78.13 Cr in FY2021. The improvement in revenue is also backed by expansion in installed capacity from 600 MTS in FY2022 to 750 MTS in FY2023. And, capacity utilisation has also improved from 78 percent in FY2022 to 88 percent in FY2023 which led to volume growth of 50 percent in flexible packing(slitting) and 149 percent growth in flexible packing(pouching) segment. Company has decent order book of Rs.49.86 Cr as on March 2023 to be executed in FY2024, normal period of execution of orders is around 75 days to 90 days.
Acuite believes that ASFPL will continue to benefit from its established track record of operations and longstanding relationships with its customers and suppliers.
Moderate financial risk profile
The financial risk profile of the company is moderate marked by moderate net worth, leverage ratios and debt protection metrics. The company's net worth stood at Rs 18.61 Cr as on March 31st 2023 (Prov) as against Rs.10.97 Cr as on March 31st 2022 and Rs.7.22 Cr as on March 31st 2021. The increase in net worth in FY 2023 is majorly due to increase in paid- up equity from Rs 9.96 Cr as on March 31st 2022 to Rs 15 Cr as on March 31st 2023 (Prov.) The total debt of Rs. 46.37 Cr as on March 31st 2023 consists of Rs.28.20 Cr of term loans, Rs.2 Cr of unsecured loan, Rs 5.72 Cr of CPLTD and Rs.10.45 Cr of short term debt. The company follows an aggressive financial policy reflected through its peak gearing (debt/equity) of 5.57 times as on March 31st 2021. The gearing of the company improved and remain moderate at 2.49 times as on March 31st 2023 (Prov) as against 4.74 times as on March 31st 2022 and 5.57 times as on March 31st 2021. Further, The total outside liabilities to tangible net worth also improved and stood at 4.37 times as on March 31st 2023 (Prov) as against 6.97 times as on March 31st 2022 and 8.82 times as on March 31st 2021.Debt protection metrics of interest coverage ratio and debt service coverage ratio(DSCR) stood moderate at 3.11 times and 2.91 times respectively as on March 31st 2023 (Prov) as against 2.76 times and 2.69 times respectively as on March 31st 2022 and 2.17 times and 2.12 times respectively as on March 31st 2021.
Acuite believes that the financial risk profile of the company may improve going forward with no major debt-funded capex plan.
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Working capital intensive nature of operations
Company’s operations are working capital intensive, as reflected by its improved though high Gross Current Asset (GCA) days of 183 days in FY 2023 (Prov) as against 195 days for FY22 and 192 days for FY21. The inventory days stood at 120 days in FY 2023 (Prov) as against 127 days and 112 days in FY 2022 and FY 2021 respectively. The debtor’s days remained around 70-75 days during the last three years ending FY23 (Prov) which is in line with the credit period allowed to its customers. To support the working capital, the group stretched the creditors to an extent of about 67–116 days during the last three years, ending FY 23 (Prov). The stretch in working capital cycle has led to higher reliance on short term bank borrowings with an average utilisation of 95 percent in the past 12 months ended March 2023.
Acuité believes that the working capital management of the group will remain a key rating sensitivity over the medium term.
Customer concentration risk
ASFPL has a high customer concentration risk with approx. 63% of its total revenue being contributed by a single reputed customer ITC Ltd. Further, out of the total revenue, 80% is from the Top 4 customers only including ITC Ltd. The current outstanding order book is also from these four customers only depicting high reliance on recurring orders.
Susceptibility to cyclicality in the plastic industry and end-user industry
The domestic plastic sector is characterised by demand cyclicality, volatility in raw material and metal prices, high regulatory risk, and the risk of imports. Group operates in the cyclical plastic industry thus making it vulnerable to downturns in industry demand, leading to decline in realizations and profitability. Moreover, the bulk of its revenue is derived from cyclical domestic end use industry, the demand depends on the economic growth and consumer sentiments, and thus any decline in demand can also have adverse impact on sales and profitability of group. Demand for plastic products depends on the level of construction and infrastructure activities and any movement in economic cycles. Furthermore, the plastic industry remains exposed to global crude oil prices. While the cost-efficient and integrated domestic operations of the company partially cushion profitability against cyclical downturns, it shall remain exposed to inherent price and demand volatility in the plastic industry.
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