Experienced management, demonstrated track record and favourable location of on going projects:
ARPL is into real estate business since 1994. The company is promoted and managed by Mr. T. S. Asok and Mrs. T Lekha. The promoters have almost three decades of experience in the construction and development of real estate. The company has an established track record of developing an area of more than 100 lakh square feet. Since inception, Group has completed more than 65 projects and with a successful track record in past projects, the company has the intent of executing larger residential projects. ARPL, with its strategic positioning of its projects has created brand equity and is now among the top real estate developers in Kerala under the affordable segment. Out of the total 11 projects, the company completed construction of 4 projects in the current year with outstanding inventory of 3,69,089 sq ft as on June, 2023. Currently, company is developing 7 residential projects and has launched 1 new project during June 2023. The company has obtained all the necessary approvals for its ongoing projects. Out of the total area of 16.17 lakh sq. ft. for the 11 projects the company has sold of 12.47 lakh sq. ft. until June 30, 2023. Acuite believes the established track record of the company and its extensive experience in developing residential projects will help the company in catering to various class of customers.
Steady construction pace backed by moderate sales and collection traction:
ARPL has shown moderate sales traction during the 9 months period (September 2022 to June 2023), the company has sold area 1,23,530 Sq.Ft during the said period backed by steady demand and completed around 14 percent of the construction of ongoing projects. ARPL has completed construction of 4 of its on-going projects namely Metropolis, Diamond Enclave, Legacy and Flora projects within estimated time and cost. Out of the 11 on-going projects Inspire, Freedom and Elite are slow moving projects with low sales velocity on account of low demand. These three projects are being built in a area of 4,93,880 Sq.Ft in Trivandrum, out of which the company was able to sell area of 17,365 Sq.Ft during past 9 months ending June, 2023. Lower sales velocity has led to slow progress in construction it the respective projects.
On overall basis the company has sold area of 12,47,996 Sq.Ft and completed around 75 percent of the constructions in its on-going projects against which the company has already received booking of 66 percent and received customers advances of 52 percent as a percentage to total saleable value as on June 30, 2023 drawing moderate sales and collection traction. Further, the total sales potential of the projects is estimated at around Rs. 1002.6 Cr. Acuite believes that continued sales and collection traction will remain a key sensitivity for generating sound cash flows commensurate with its cost and repayment obligations.
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Exposure execution and funding Risk:
The estimated total cost for ARPL’s projects is Rs. 774.89 Cr out of which the company has already incurred cost of Rs. 583.42 Cr (Rs. 127.44 Cr funded through debt, Rs. 373.72 Cr through advance bookings, Rs. 83.11 Cr through promoter's contribution) as on June 30, 2023. APRL has incurred 75 percent of the project cost however it is yet to incur Rs. 191 Cr towards the completion of the projects which it is expected to met through committed receivables and disbursement of the remaining loan. This draws moderate funding risk as the company is primarily depending upon the receivables from sold units and customer advances for construction of the projects. Any volatility in the sales and collection traction of the projects would adversely impact the completion of the projects, exposing the projects to execution risk. However, given the healthy sales and collection traction towards the project till date, execution risk is mitigated to certain extent.
Susceptibility to Real Estate Cyclicality and Regulatory Risks
The real estate industry in India is highly fragmented with most of the real estate developers, having a city specific or region-specific presence. The risks associated with real estate industry are cyclical in nature and directly linked to drop in property prices and interest rate risks, which could affect the operations. Given the high level of financial leverage, the high cost of borrowing prevents the real estate's developers' from significantly reducing prices to boost sales growth. Moreover, the industry is also exposed to certain regulatory risks linked to stamp duty and registration tax directly impacting the demand and thus the operating growth of real estate players.
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