Long track record of operations and experienced management
Established in 2001, Akshera manufactures kraft paper, which is primarily used in the production of corrugated boxes and paperboards. The promoters of the company, Mr. K. Ramesh Krishnan and Mrs. Uma Maheshwari have more than 2 decades of experience in the paper industry. The extensive experience of the management and long standing relationship with its customers ensuring repeated orders. Acuité believes that Akshera continues to enjoy the benefit of the promoters' longstanding presence in the industry and improving its business risk profile over the medium term.
Moderate working capital operations:
Akshera Papers working capital operations are moderate marked by its GCA of 110 days as on March 31, 2023 against 87 days as on March 31, 2022. Debtor days stood at 41 days as on March 31, 2023 against 43 days as on March 31, 2022. Creditor days are at 71 as on March 31, 2023 against 51 days as on March 31, 2022. The firm has to maintain raw material inventory for 2-3 months to ensure smooth flow of production, this has led to full utilization of its fund based facilities at ~98 percent in past 12 months ending August, 2023. The current ratio of the firm stood at 0.97 times as on March 31, 2023. Acuite believes that working capital management of the firm will remain moderate intensive over the medium term.
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Decline in revenue and profitability:
AP reported revenue of Rs.88.64Cr in FY23 against Rs.127.83Cr of FY22. This sharp decline in revenue is primarily on account of sluggish demand in the market coupled by decrease in orders. AP majorly caters its products to garment manufacturing and other packaging companies, whose exports are on lower side during FY23 and low demand has led to decrease in realizations. Raw material costs was high during FY23 on account of scarcity of raw material (Waste paper). Due to low demand AP was unable to pass on the burden to its customers which led to decline in EBITDA margins to 2.62 percent against 3.64 of previous year. The firm has suffered net loss in FY23 on account of high depreciation cost. However, as per the YTD figures till August 31, 2023 the firm has shown improvement in EBITDA margins at ~7.8 percent and expected to close the year in the range of 5-6 percent. This improvement in revenue is on account of low raw material prices in the current year. But, revenue is expected to be in the range of Rs.75-80Cr as demand for Kraft papers still continued to be weak.
Below average financial Risk Profile:
AP's financial risk profile is below average marked by declined net worth, moderate gearing (debt-to equity), and moderate total outside liabilities to total net worth (TOL/TNW. AP's net worth is moderate at Rs. 24.29 Cr as on March 31, 2023 against Rs.26.80Cr of previous year. Decline in net worth is on account of loss suffered by the company during FY23. Gearing is moderate at 1.01 times as on March 31, 2023. TOL/TNW is moderate at 1.60 times as on March 31, 2023 against 1.58 times as on March 31, 2022. Interest coverage ratio and Debt service coverage ratio’s deteriorated to 1.29 times and 0.53 times respectively as on March 31, 2023 from 2.33 times and 1.27 times of previous year. Debt to EBITDA has increased to 7.28 times on account deterioration absolute EBITDA. Acuite believes that financial risk position of AP’s will improve over the medium term.
Exposure to volatile raw material prices and highly fragmented and competitive industry
Operating margin remains susceptible to volatile raw material (waste paper) prices, which are linked directly to international prices. Any adverse fluctuation in raw material prices can impact profitability. Kraft paper is used for tertiary packaging; thus, offtake depends on industrial production and other macroeconomic factors. The recycling industry is highly intense competition and highly fragmented industrial paper industry constrains scalability, pricing power, and product differentiation.
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