Strategically important role of AVVNL for the state of Rajasthan & support extended by the GoR
AVVNL came into existence in 2000 and caters the power requirements of around 11 districts of the state including Ajmer, Bhilwara, Udaipur, Chittorgarh etc to name a few. It is a strategically important entity and forms the backbone of the power sector infrastructure for Rajasthan with area of operation of around 88000 sq. km. The status of the company as a 100 per cent government of Rajasthan (GoR) owned entity provides it adequate financial flexibility. AVVNL's credit profile is also supported by its access to funds at low cost and its ability to mobilise financial resources from several financial institutions and multilateral development institutions. The rating also factors in the ongoing support extended by GoR to AVVNL in the form of regular infusion of funds in the form of equity and unsecured loans and guarantees extended by the state government. During FY2024 (Prov.), there was an equity infusion of Rs. 118.19 Cr. Further, well established regulatory processes in Rajasthan such as presence of multi-year tariff regulations and grants sanctioned by the GoR has strengthened the operations of AVVNL. Acuité believes that AVVNL, being a fully owned undertaking of GoR, shall continue to benefit from the financial, operational and management support of GoR from time to time. Any event that impinges GoR's overall credit profile shall remain a key rating sensitivity.
Sustainable improvement in the AT&C losses and T&D losses over the last 10 years, albeit slight increase noted in AT&C losses in FY2024.
AVVNL has experienced sustained improvement in the Transmission and Distribution Losses [T&D] and Aggregate Technical and Commercial Losses [AT&C] over a period of last 10 years accrued to the implementation of multiple initiatives, capex to improve transmission lines, installing substations, among others. The collection efficiency of the discom has stood in range of 93% to 108% in last 8 quarters ending Q4FY2024. However, on a YOY basis the collection efficiency has declined to 95% in FY2024 from 100.17% last year. The AT&C losses which over a decade have recorded an improvement, registered a slight increase to 15.28% in FY2024 as against 10% in FY2023.
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Modest financial risk profile
The financial risk profile remains modest marked by negative net worth and deterioration in the coverage indicators. The discom reported net losses in FY2024 that resulted in further decline in the networth to Rs. (15029.28) Cr. as on March 31, 2024(Prov.) against Rs.(8624.81) Cr. as on March 31,2023. The debt levels stood at Rs.26,424.09 Cr. as on March 31, 2024(Prov.) as against Rs.22295.23 Cr. as on March 31, 2023. It is a highly capital-intensive nature of business where in order to maintain operational efficiencies, the company has to incur regular capital expenditure. Decline in EBDITA coupled with higher debt has resulted in the deterioration of the debt protection metrics as reflected by interest coverage ratio (ICR) and debt service coverage ratio (DSCR) stood at 0.64 times in FY2024 (Prov.) compared against 1.09 times in FY2023 and 0.29 times in FY2024 (Prov.) as against 0.59 times in FY2023, respectively. Though the company’s DSCR has been weak in the past 3 years ended FY2024 (Prov.), Acuité notes that AVVNL has received regular support from GoR in the form of grants and equity infusion which is expected to continue going forward.
Moderation in EBDITA; though losses recovered by State Government in a phased manner.
The company’s operating income stood at Rs.20,310.04 Cr. in FY2024 (Prov.) compared against Rs.19,500.41 Cr. in FY2023 on account of the increased consumption from the domestic & industrial segment. However, due to increase in the power purchase cost, no inflations built in the tariff, and increase in online purchases of power, the EBDITA margin of the company declined to 5.46% in FY2024(Prov.) against 8.00% in FY2023. Further, the discom has reported net losses of Rs.(1974.63) Cr. in FY2024(Prov.) compared against Rs.(766.17) Cr. in FY2023. Nonetheless, the losses would be taken over by the State government in a phased manner under a scheme approved on the recommendation of 15th Finance Commission, the Ministry of Finance, Gol wherein a performance based additional borrowing space of 0.50% of Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) to States in power sector upon fulfilment of certain conditions and criteria. The objectives of the additional borrowing space are to improve the operational and economic efficiency of the power sector and promote a sustained increase in paid electricity consumption. This special dispensation of borrowing space has been recommended for each year for a four-year period from FY 2021-22 to 2024-25.
Regulated nature of operations
The revenues are influenced by the regulatory framework governing the power sector. Revenues of players such as AVVNL are determined by Rajasthan Electricity Regulatory Commission (RERC) through revision in tariff. Any significant delays in tariff approvals or a reduction in return on equity or a tightening of the RERC norms could result in lower operating cash flows. Acuité believes that any significant change in the regulatory environment will impinge on the credit profile of the company.
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